Key Events of the XXI Century

2040-2060

• Temperature Difference: +1.6°C
• Global North:
• Arctic cold-ish conflict: Russia tries to grab parts of Canada
• Serious decarbonization continues, due to renewable energies being cheaper
• China & India lead international efforts, Saudi becomes unlivable
• Fossil Capital prompts more border wars (Iran/Pakistan, India/Pakistan, Turkey/Syria, Armenia/Azerbaijan, Ethiopia/Somalia/Kenya) => Heavy migrations to Global North countries
• International legislation starts waning
• Russian Federation breaks apart. Many oblasts on the European side call themselves ‘Russia’ and claim Siberian territories, whereas the latters claim independence
• Global South:
• Many African and Southeast Asian countries start to cut colonial ties
• Still marred in wars, debt and extreme climate events
• Some countries create an institution to economically support each other: the Council of Global South (CGS). It is not a political organ
• University of São Paulo develops a biomedicine that degrades microplastics in the body
• Great Green Wall kickstarts and extends cooperation among African polities and countries
• Europe:
• Europe is armed enough to deter Russian invasion
• Political/ideological differences create tensions in EU Parliament
• Kaliningrad becomes independent, renames to Koroliygora and joins EU
• Hungary’s right to vote within the EU is suspended, Georgia, Moldova, Srbija & Albania join
• Finland:
• Ecosocialism, but with authoritarian policies against immigrants and foreigners
• Republic of Sami recognized; 2/3rds of Lapland region becomes autonomous
• 50% of forests, lakes and coastlines become protected areas
• Tampere:
• Renowned for hydroelectric energy generation, finance & tech
• Nokia becomes a battery manufacturer
• Rail Baltica extended from Helsinki to Tampere

2060-2080

• Temperature Difference: +1.8°C
• Global North:
• Decarbonization continues, US/Russia/Saudi still major emitters but their power is waning, India/China go almost full renewables
• US states start to break away, wage war at each other based on political alignment in order to seize control of federal institutions
• OPEC (mainly Russia & Saudi) tries to hijack/sabotage CGS
• Extreme events exceed the capacity to prevent disasters; reparation costs become unbearable and many states reach unrepayable levels of debt
• More countries move towards ecosocialism, other become more entrenched in neoliberalism or fall into ecofascism (see table below)
• Radical digitalization: it becomes inconvenient to print new media, corporations exert almost total control over digital media. Printed media is only used by countercultures despite their obsolescence
• Global South:
• Amazonian Revolt: climate movements and workers’ unions rally behind indigenous people against a new season of deforestation and Andes abuse. Heavy guerrillas through mountains and rainforests
• CGS increases cooperation and sharing of resources, information and expertise to resist spheres of influence of US/China/India/Saudi/Iran/EU
• Universities from CGS create a cooperative publishing system for academic knowledge
• Millions of Indian begin to mass migrate towards China; China segregates them to the West
• Kurdistan is recognized by more than 50 other CGS countries
• University of Nairobi develops sustainable fertilizers that help against drought
• Europe:
• Greece leaves EU, joins CGS
• Swedish government cannot keep mafias in check
• Instabilities are magnified as countries are divided between ideologies, stalling policymaking and leading to inefficacy of EU Parliament
• UK dissolves, Ireland spearheads the formation of the New Celtic Union (Ireland/Scotland/Wales/Cornwall). England falls into financial feudalism
• White Plains War over Belarus: Russia vs Poland, Baltics & Finland
• Finland:
• One of the first countries to fully decarbonize; proper forest management makes it net negative
• Despite tight administrative restrictions, communities of Russians, Middle Easterns and North Africans move inland
• Many people from foreign backgrounds are conscripted and sent to Belarus
• Tampere:
• Trade with Karelia and Murmansk Republics, now independent and in need of supplies
• The Kanteletar Artistic and Digital Library is opened on Finland’s 150^th year since independence
• Rail Baltica extended northwards, as far as Murmansk

2080-2100

• Temperature Difference: +1.9°C
• Global North:
• Worldwide decarbonization is complete
• US Great War continues, most countries block US media to stop the info flood
• Capitalist countries still persevere by doubling down on constructions to repair damages from extreme events
• Technological infrastructure starts being severely impacted by extreme events, data centers and railways are moved below surface
• Arctic ice is fully melted during summers
• Global South:
• Guerrillas over the Amazon & Andes come to an end; colonizing elites are toppled and the Unión de Países de América del Sur (UPAS) is formed
• UPAS implements a system of shared ownership of resources at the local level and creates an institution devoted to the restoration of Antarctic ice sheets
• Pan African Union is formed, with the exception of Egypt and South Africa; it includes four branches: Maghreb, Bonde La Ufa (Rift Valley) Alliance, Guinean Gulf Pact and Southern African Development Community
• Most extractive practices in South America and Southeast Asia are terminated
• IMF asks CGS for loans, gets turned down and is forced to shut down
• La Paz & Yaoundé become first ecopolises, with functioning urban ecosystems and zero-waste cycles
• Four Indian Migrant Wars: the post-fascist regime cannot deal with migrants returning from Western China, who revolt in four cities (Kolkata, Mumbai, New Delhi, Bengaluru)
• Europe:
• EU becomes functionally useless, but most member states remain and play along to avoid US-like fallout
• Universities of Praha & Warsaw realizes the first Tunnel prototype for conscience transfer
• Great English Migration: most Brits leave the impoverished countryside and move to London, Birmingham and Liverpool/Manchester (later Liverchester) or New Celtic Union
• Belarus liberated: a temporary government is set up by EU
• The Promise Project is launched
• First winter of fully absent AMOC. Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Ireland & Scotland experience severely colder seasons
• Hetta becomes largest city in Sápmi, administered through decentralized indigenous principles
• Finland:
• Crucial trade routes are shifting from the Mediterranean to the Baltic
• Finland becomes the main gateway to European market for Asian countries (mostly China/Japan but also CNIS)
• Several Swedish communities move to Finland in order to flee the mafia
• Tampere:
• Flourishing trade city, melting pot of cultures
• The city becomes once again known as "the Powerhouse of Finland", producing 25% of total national energy
• Akkurate becomes the second biggest battery manufacturer

Key Events of the XXII Century

2100-2150

• Temperature Difference: +2.2°C
• Global North:
• Biggest corporations still standing move to the few neoliberal countries left (Sweden, Czechia, Estonia, France, Italy, South Korea, Taiwan, India, Canada, Australia, Texas, Illinois, other former-US states) or become stateless to avoid taxations and regulations
• Some nation states who have clung onto neoliberalism end up with ineffective governments; cities and regions begin to create their own policies on the model of Sápmi and other former Russian oblasts, de facto becoming more similar to city-states
• Authoritarian countries (Russia, England, Egypt, India, Israel, Azerbaijan), supported by the remnants of Fossil Capital, launch new wars against vulnerable countries (Armenia, Georgia, Dagestan, Kurdistan, Turkmenistan) in order to seize their resources. These will be known as the Caspian-Caucasian Wars
• China builds the first permanently running nuclear fusion power plant, serving the Pearl River Delta Megapolis
• Extreme events become too damaging for large cities’ infrastructure; more and more buildings are constructed underground, in order to avoid maintenance and reparation costs
• Central American cartels & gangs are permanently ousted; they move to Sweden, Norway & Denmark
• Global South:
• UPAS now includes indigenous representatives
• Pan African Union launches megaprojects to regenerate the Sahel Rainforest
• Northern and Central Asian countries replicate UPAS structure, expel Russia from CIS and reform it with similar indigenous representation (CNIS)
• University of Dacca realizes the first 100% biofiber clothes (can be crafted from organics, lasts 5 years and decomposes in 3 months if left in nature)
• Amazon Forest is succesfully regenerated by UPAS policies and volunteer efforts
• Under pressure from other countries and internal unrest, Indian government breaks apart and chaos continues
• CNIS funds and oversees the creation of two boreal megaforests: the Archangel’s Taiga and the Nenets’ Reindeer Siberian Sanctuary
• Europe:
• Ring of the Four Seas construction begins
• Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania & Koroliygora form the Baltic Federation
• Consequences of AMOC collapse: Scandinavia becomes colder and drier, sea around Tromsø and Murmansk freezes over
• Two Channels War: France, Netherlands & New Celtic Union vs England
• English government is forcibly removed and replaced with one, similar to Belarus, not subordinate to EU but to NCU
• Sweden, Norway & Denmark are torn apart by guerrillas between police, military and drug syndicates, which call themselves legions. Governments struggle to guarantee heating, people start to side with gangster in order to get smuggled heatpumps and insulation
• New Celtic Union regenerates rainforests in Scottish & Irish Highlands
• Finland:
• Against EU Parliament decision and emboldened by the victory over Belarus, Finland wages war against Russia
• Trade with Murmansk, Arkhangelsk, CNIS and even the Legions is enhanced in order to support the war effort
• Many immigrant-led pacifist movements start sabotaging weapon and battery factories, energy power plants and train stations
• Tampere:
• Old and new factories are repurposed for the war effort
• Workers, immigrants and war veterans start sabotaging Nokia, Akkurate and other key factories in the city, at times blocking whole quarters

2150-2200

• Temperature Difference: +2.3°C
• Global North:
• More than 100y of Climate Crisis; most ecosocialist countries have learned to deal with and prepare against extreme events (not always smoothly)
• Traditional meat becomes unprofitable and unaccessible to the average citizen. Fermented meat (fausage, facon, febab, feeb, furger) skyrockets in popularity
• Republican States of America & Democratic States of America emerge from the aftermath of the longest civil war, conflicts are not fully solved but resources are dwindling on both sides
• Kessler Syndrome begins hampering radio communication and other orbital infrastructures
• Global South:
• CNIS and PAU manage to mediate and pacify most armed conflicts, although some at high costs
• Increased precipitations and floods make Southern Sahara become a swamp; a global effort is dedicated to study and sustain this new ecosystem (saharane)
• Cooperatives focus their efforts on zero-waste houseing and other technologies aimed at common well-being
• Central Asian countries and cities become major solar power providers for CNIS and Siberian polities
• Europe:
• Baltic States devolve a considerable amount of funding to restoring their ancient boreal forests (Baltic Boreal Green Belt) and wetlands (Livonian Bogs, Ingrian Marsh Basin), in order to have natural barriers against Sweden & Russia
• English puppet government is hampered by French authority, so London and Liverchester experiment with self-governance
• Russia, undergoing the aftermaths of several conflicts, attempts internal colonization by creating new cities and razing boreal forests inland
• Swedish legions rule every major city, conduct trade in every sector and are the de facto rulers of Scandinavia
• Finland:
• Finland becomes connection hub between Scandinavia, Baltic and Arctic Seas
• Helsinki becomes a major port city for Baltic trade, reaches a population of 3mln
• Logistical disruptions due to colder, windier winters
• Swedish legions try to penetrate in coastal cities (Turku, Oulu, Rauma), while Russian military plans a revenge war and tries to block trade routes with Asia
• Tampere:
• Large swathes of boreal forests are cut down in order to accommodate more logistics and storage hubs
• Many quarters are overpopulated and with little funding some end up becoming ghettos

Countries in green have splintered in several autonomous communities, regions and city-states too numerous to list.

Key Events of the XXIII Century

2200-2250

• Temperature Difference: +2.2°C
• Global North:
• With waned regulations and governments in the West, the wealthy chase monopolies in every sector with increased ruthlessness
• Renowned satellite company Atlas buys Frontier and several other telecommunications and space exploration companies, until it has sole control of western-serving satellites and low-orbit areas (orbital hegemony)
• Global temperatures begin dropping for the first time in centuries
• Atlas, a satellite manufacturing company, offers a solution for the worsening Kessler Syndrome and begins cleaning up orbital space from debris and (undercover) from non-Atlas satellites
• Global South:
• PAU declares androids have the same legal rights as people
• Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Dagestan and Tatarstan pioneer an open-borders policy to be extended to the entirety of CNIS if successful; their power grids become connected and they become major solar power exporters
• A collective of Southeast Asian cities (Bangkok, Yangon, Phnom Penh, Vientian and Hanoi) implements at metropolitan scale appliances to extract water from air humidity
• Inuit, Cree, Mi’kmaq, Anishinaabe, Yup’ik and many other boreal people constitute their own polities and claim independence from the war-torn Canadian government
• 65% of global oceans are protected
• Europe:
• City-states like Madrid, Barcelona, Milano, Roma, Reggio-Messina-Villa, Istanbul and Ankara rise to prominence as independent administrative centers of the respective regions
• In an attempt to reinstate waning authority, European Parliament attempts a traveling arrangement where they relocate weekly along the Ring of the Four Seas and other locations across EU members
• Russia allows some cities to be part of said infrastructural project, in the hope of using it to extend its influence to the rest of Europe
• 2237 – Shortest Year: numbering switches to the New Month Nomenclature, starting in September/Classonth
• Russia attempts to revitalize the economy by forcing urbanization to Volgograd, Samara, Kirov, Yekaterinburg and Voronezh
• Finland:
• Population reaches 15mln, mostly around coastal cities
• Government agrees to fund construction but under pressure of municipalities it agrees to protect twice the area of forest and wetlands
• Investigations reveal that many government members are in contact with Swedish legions
• Tampere:
• Swedish legions takes advantage of desperate people in the ghettos and tries to set up a local presence
• Surrounding cities begin shying away from cooperation out of fear of legions intervention; trade slows down and factories either relocate inland or start cooperating with the legions

2250-2300

• Temperature Difference: +2.1°C
• Global North:
• With remaining funding from many polities and no orbital competition, Atlas launches the first two orbital colonies: Atlantica, geostationed between Ireland and Spain, and Pacifica, geostationed between Guam and the Philippines
• China and India launch the Six Heavens Path, a megaproject to rebuild North America; divide the areas of influence in six blocks, with Denver (now renamed as Den Ba) as administrative center between the six. Northwest (under Chinese influence), Southwest (under Indian influence), Gulf Coast (under South American influence), Great Lakes Area (under Japanese influence), Northeast (under French influence) and Center-East (under PAU influence); the Nebraska Dead Zone (NDZ) is deemed uninhabitable
• Radio communication is by now only expertise of Atlas and deprecated by most of the rest of the world after Kessler Syndrome
• Global South:
• Universities of Papua Niugini and Bali invent thermoregulating clothes (can adjust humidity and temperature inside)
• Extreme urbanization allows 60% of land to be rewilded in Southeast Asia and South America
• The Caribbeans foster a multi-island cooperation which regenerates a coral reef stretching from Trinidad to the Northern Bahamas
• Europe:
• The Extended Underground Rail Network [Eurail] is complete: over 100 cities are connected by high-speed train lines that can cross the continent in 10 hours
• Following the unsuccesful attempt of the European Parliament and Atlas’ academic monopoly, some scientists and historians begin holding Railroad Universities across the continent
• Nation states have reduced to symbolic powers; most cities in Europe are by now independent
• Several Russian cities claim independence in order to sign trade agreements with other cities and be included in new networking infrastructural projects (Volgograd, Sankt Peterburg, Rostov-na-Dony)
• Cities across the Baltic Sea, in order to resist Russian influence and Scandinavian legions, form the Neolivonian League (spearheaded by the existing Baltic Federation)
• Atlas sponsors many cities, promising exclusive technological services and data protection against bad actors
• Cities and nations across the Black Sea become rivals for political and economic supremacy in the area; Büyük Istanbul, Jalta and Sup’sa are the major powers
• Finland:
• Population reaches 15mln, mostly around coastal cities
• Government agrees to fund construction but under pressure of municipalities it agrees to protect twice the area of forest and wetlands
• Investigations reveal that many government members are in contact with Swedish legions
• Tampere:
• Swedish legions takes advantage of desperate people in the ghettos and tries to set up a local presence
• Surrounding cities begin shying away from cooperation out of fear of legions intervention; trade slows down and factories either relocate inland or start cooperating with the legions

Colors indicate the polity's dominant economic system: Ecosocialist - Neocapitalist - Pakhanate - Mutualist

¹Atlassian Orbital Network - Atlantica, Scandica, Artica, Praha

²Commonwealth of New Independent States - Georgia, Armenia, Karelia, Arkhangelast, Khantia Mansia, Komi, Murmansk, Nenetsia, Yamalia, Yakutia, Magadan, Chukotka, Kamchatka, Altaistan, Tuvastan, Irkutsk, Buryatstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongol-Uls, Zabaykalsk, Amur, Omsk/Tomsk/Novosibirsk, Krasnoyarsk, Khabarovsk, Primorsky

³Mediterranean Link - Cartagena, Barcelona, Cagliari, Reggio-Messina-Villa, Athina, İzmir, Kypros, al-Qahira, Benghazi, Tripoli/Oyat, Grand Tunis, Annaba/Bouna, al-Jaza’ir/Dzayer

⁴Neolivonian League - Tallinn, Pärnu, Riiga, Klaipeda, Saaremaa, Koroliygora, Pomorskie Trojmiasto, Hamburg, Aarhus, Store København, Oslo, Berlin, Jönköping, Stockholm, Oulu, Vaasa, Helsinki, Sankt Peterburg

⁵Rede Iberica - Oporto, Lisboa, Faro, Puerto Santa Maria, Cartagena, Valencia, Zaragoza, Andorra, Llion, A Coruña, Madrid

Key Events of the XXIV Century

2300-2350

• Temperature Difference: +2.0°C
• Global North:
• Due to disagreements on the Six Heavens Path, China and India are locked in a perpetual cold war; they cut each other off from the rest of the world, surrendering assets to Atlas in order to get advantages on other fronts
• Thanks to weak regulations in neocapitalist polities, Atlas manages to acquire all major long-range communication infrastructures and legal rights for all satellite operations; dozens of new orbital colonies are launched all over the world (except around the Arctic)
• Atlas’ satelloligarchs, living in orbital cities, begin buying every asset available in neocapitalist and struggling polities, appointing vassals to run them in order to extract profit and ensure subservience
• Authian countries resist in a desperate attempt to maintain absolute control of their lands, infrastructures and resources
• Global South:
• CGS, PAU, UPAS and NCIS operations are stunted and made harder by Atlas’ attempts to meddle in their policies and infrastructure
• Communication with Europe increasingly harder
• Ittoqqortoormiit & Longyearbyen become main hubs of Arctic trade
• Europe:
• Both Medilink and Rede Iberica gradually become vassals to Atlas
• Russia, in order to keep its local power, agrees to become a vassal to Atlas
• Headquarters moved to Nad Praha (Supraga), the largest orbital city above Europe
• Unrest is widespread and the Livonian League struggles to keep its constituent cities safe from Atlas’ grasp
• European Union officially dissolves
• France maintains authian structure without borders: it imposes its laws and restrictions on the basis of language
• Finland:
• Losing struggle on three fronts: against Russia, against Legions and against Atlas
• Many escape southern cities and flee to Sápmi or Murmansk, whose territories are less threatened by global actors
• Reverse-mecenatist scenario in which the rich are among the few that can afford publising and surround themselves with scores of editors and marketers that place his stories
• Tampere:
• Nokia and Akkurate are bought by Atlas
• City administration is forced to sell assets in order to repay debts to the legions

2350-2400

• Temperature Difference: +1.9°C
• Atlas:
• Atlas acts as mediator between India and China, slowly easing the conflicts in order to maintain business in both countries
• Atlas pressures legislations all over the world to relinquish long-distance communication infrastructure
• The Satelloligarchs become less and less responsive
• Europe:
• Atlas buys most of Eurail infrastructure, extracting hefty tolls and limiting access to underground facilities
• In order to attempt resisting their expanding authority, the Neolivonian League cities agree to a new urban plan focusing on total underground constructions and isolation from radio interference
• After the dissolution of Europe and the end of restrictions, London, Liverchester & Newcastle become relevant harbors and trade centers again
• Swedish legions extend their authority to other polities, often clashing with Atlas but at times cooperating
• Sápmi, Murmansk, Arkhangelsk & Anggan cooperate to build the White Crown Brigde, a 48km long bridge connecting the Kela Peninsula to the Western Siberian province
• Radio communication is associated with Atlas allegiance and it becomes socially vituperated
• Finland:
• Swedish legions, Russian armies and Atlas seize most Finnish cities
• Kemijärvi maintains independence, supported by Sápmi & Murmansk
• Porvoo maintains independence, supported by Livonian League & Sankt Peterburg
• Tampere:
• City in the hands of legions, Russian armies cause skirmishes and localized violence
• Pockets of Neolivonians attempt to reclaim railway tracks in order to conduct trade

Key Events of XV Century

2400-2450

• Temperature Difference: +1.8°C
• Atlas:
• Atlas’ growing bureaucracy stymies technological development, at times hindering its own ability to solve internal matters and emergencies
• 2413: Artica Orbital Famine. One of the orbital cities above the White Sea receives less food by logistical mistakes. Twelve thousand people die of starvation, while three thousand die in the attempt to flee the orbit.
• After decades of absence of Satelloligarchs, internal factions pull Atlas in various directions, rendering it unable to hold itself together
• Europe:
• Cities of the Neolivonian League take advantage of the growing distrust among polities to put in place trade and peace agreements in order to extend their influence
• Great fundings are devoted to replicate the analog (non-radio) infrastructure for data delivery developed the Mongolians and the Eastern Inuit
• Finland:
• 2404: Swedish Legions and Russian Armies meet in Helsinki to agree how to split the many cities, but the negotiations take years due to disagreements
• Cities affiliated with the Neolivonian League prepare for armed resistance, while also sending infiltrates to steal intelligence and stall the agreements
• 2408: Tensions escalate and both sides seize various quarters of Helsinki in order to establish an armed presence
• A political goal rises among the Neolivonian League cities: the Liberation of Helsinki
• 2432: Armed conflict ensues. Russian Armies attempt to conquer Porvoo to use it as a missile base, but the locals (supported by the Neolivonian League) resist
• Tampere:
• Locals take advantage of the commotion to sabotage Swedish Legions’ operations